Ontario's new COVID-19 modelling to show ICUs full by early February: sources

Curfew no longer on the table, although Doug Ford said forecasts will make you 'fall off your chair'

Ontario's latest COVID-19 modelling will project the province's intensive care units to be filled beyond capacity by early February and will also show how a new, more contagious variant of the coronavirus risks accelerating the spread of infections, sources tell CBC News.

Premier Doug Ford's cabinet is to meet Monday evening to decide on further pandemic restrictions, but a senior government official told reporters that the province's health advisers are not recommending a curfew.

"We worked all weekend, right until late hours last night," Ford said Monday as he arrived at his office in the provincial legislature. "We'll be going to cabinet with recommendations, and we'll make an announcement tomorrow."


Ontario urged to declare state of emergency with modelling, COVID-19 measures coming Tuesday

Province reported 3,338 more cases of the virus Monday morning with deaths topping 5,000

Ontario's cabinet is being urged to declare another state of emergency as it seeks to address surging numbers of COVID-19 cases in the province, sources say.

Health officials have recommended the following restrictions to cabinet, sources told CBC Toronto on Monday:

Gathering limits reduced to as few as five people.
Shorter hours for essential businesses, which would involve earlier closures and later openings.
Limits on construction activity, but those limits would still allow essential construction to continue. Essential construction would be defined as work on health care and critical infrastructure, as well as residential buildings.
A requirement that no employees would be allowed in offices unless they are deemed essential.
Those proposals, which have not yet been decided upon, come as Ontario reported another 3,338 cases of COVID-19 and the province's death toll topped 5,000 on Monday.


Also on Monday, a government source told CBC News that a curfew will not be among restrictions expected to be announced.


Covid: UK reports more than 80,000 deaths

More than 80,000 people have died in the UK within 28 days of a positive Covid test since the start of the pandemic, official figures have shown.

A further 1,035 deaths in the UK were reported on Saturday, taking the total by that measure to 80,868.

The number of daily cases of people who tested positive for coronavirus increased by 59,937.

Only the US, Brazil, India and Mexico have recorded more Covid deaths, according to Johns Hopkins University. It is the fourth day in a row that the UK has reported more than 1,000 daily deaths.

It comes as scientists advising the government have warned that lockdown measures in England need to be stricter to achieve the same impact as the March shutdown.




ontario: Ontario's new COVID-19 modelling to show ICUs full by early February: sources
https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/ontario-covid-19-cases-modelling-lockdown-doug-ford-1.5868165


ont: Ontario urged to declare state of emergency with modelling, COVID-19 measures coming Tuesday
https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/covid-19-ontario-january-11-2021-1.5868430


uk: Covid: UK reports more than 80,000 deaths
https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-55605173