Prior to September 11,
plans were made to eliminate all stocks of smallpox within the next several
years, thus making the virus the first species purposely eliminated
from this planet.
Despite the eradication of smallpox as a disease, could the virus
return? The virus’s only natural host is man; no lower animals are susceptible.
Since the virus does not linger in the form of a persistent infection,
it is amenable to permanent eradication—that is to say, removal from
the world. But because the virus no longer circulates in any community,
the numbers of never-vaccinated or never-infected susceptible individuals
increases continually. Further, complete or efficient immunity of
those previously vaccinated is believed to wane in ten to twenty years.
Consequently, the pool of highly susceptible individuals is expanding
enormously...
In the last few years, some countries and individuals with hidden
stores of smallpox viruses have actually chosen to develop more dangerous
varieties by inserting materials alongside its genes. For example, the
Soviet Biologic-Weapons Program near Novosibirsk in western Siberia
continued such work engineering a component of Ebola virus into the
smallpox virus, despite attempts from Gorbachev to curtail it. With the
breakup of the Soviet Union, government-funded research decreased
dramatically, and scientists working in biowarfare programs often found
themselves without jobs. Some went abroad looking for employment
by the highest bidder. Several emigrated to the United States or Great
Britain as consultants in the defense against such biological weapons,
even as the Offensive Biological Weapons Program was discontinued in
the United States during the Nixon presidency. Others, perhaps mercenary
biologists, have simply disappeared from Russia. One can only
guess
But because of that threat, several specialists who earlier
led the fight to remove smallpox from our planet and destroy the virus
as a species have recently advised that funds be earmarked to stockpile
vaccines against smallpox and other pathogens and to store the deadly
virus in American and Russian designated laboratories. The Clinton
administration agreed in late 1998 to request $300 million for this purpose.
The last natural case of smallpox occurred in 1977 in Somalia at
a time when many countries had already discontinued routine vaccination.
However, in 1978, a photographer working at the University
of Birmingham, England, became infected and died. Supposedly, the
source of infection was a secure laboratory for smallpox research
located a considerable distance from the room in which the photographer
worked. This lethal episode emphasizes the danger of any viable
smallpox virus during the posteradication era. As a result of that accident,
all strains of smallpox stored in laboratories were supposedly
destroyed or transferred to depositories at the CDC in Atlanta or the
Research Institute for Viral Preparations in Moscow. The World Health
Organization Ad Hoc Committee established to deal with this issue
recommended in 1986 and 1994 that all remaining smallpox stocks in
Atlanta and Moscow be destroyed if no serious objections were received
from the international health community and that vaccination to protect
military personnel be terminated. Despite the passage of years,
neither recommendation has been implemented.
"The possibility was
raised that smallpox in the hands of evildoers will resurface to be seen
once again by practitioners of medicine. If smallpox should ever reappear,
then potentially everyone on earth may be in danger. Since the
time that vaccination was stopped, over 50 percent of the current population
in the USA, Europe, and the world have never received the
smallpox vaccine. Every year that number grows."